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2023-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +1.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +14 (133-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 32 6-17 2-9 0-0 1 0 0 1 14 - -
Draymond Green * 30 5-9 0-1 1-2 7 5 0 0 11 - -
Stephen Curry * 30 5-15 3-8 3-4 8 5 0 0 16 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 7 0 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 1 2 3 10 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 30 8-16 4-7 4-6 8 3 1 1 24 - -
Jordan Poole 29 5-12 2-3 9-9 1 3 0 1 21 - -
Anthony Lamb 18 1-5 0-3 7-8 4 0 0 1 9 - -
Moses Moody 11 4-4 1-1 0-1 2 0 0 1 9 - -
JaMychal Green 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 34 10-17 3-5 3-4 4 2 1 0 26 - -
Xavier Tillman * 32 6-10 0-0 2-2 10 5 2 0 14 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 6-11 1-3 0-2 2 14 0 0 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 7-10 4-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 18 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 12-22 3-9 4-5 7 3 0 4 31 - -
Luke Kennard 22 5-10 4-8 0-0 4 5 0 0 14 - -
David Roddy 20 3-5 3-4 2-4 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Santi Aldama 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -
John Konchar 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 - -
Kennedy Chandler 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jake LaRavia 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 3 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter