Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (113-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 19 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 30 | 7-16 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 41 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 39 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 38 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 24 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Coby White | 27 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter