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2023-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 50.9% 49.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -14 (118-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 35 7-15 5-10 0-2 5 2 2 1 19 14 -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 10-12 0-1 10-12 9 10 1 1 30 39 -
Harrison Barnes * 27 3-7 2-3 3-3 3 2 0 0 11 9 -
De'Aaron Fox * 26 6-12 0-2 0-3 2 7 1 1 12 11 -
Kessler Edwards * 18 3-3 2-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 9 9 -
Terence Davis 29 8-13 5-7 0-1 7 0 2 0 21 17 -
Malik Monk 23 6-12 5-7 0-0 4 6 0 1 17 16 -
Davion Mitchell 18 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 6 9 -
Chimezie Metu 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 3 2 10 -
Matthew Dellavedova 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Keon Ellis 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alex Len 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
PJ Dozier 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 32 8-17 2-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 20 8 -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 12-23 4-11 5-6 7 3 1 0 33 21 -
Corey Kispert * 30 5-12 3-8 0-0 5 3 0 0 13 9 -
Monte Morris * 20 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 7 6 -
Daniel Gafford * 13 2-3 0-0 3-3 2 3 1 1 7 11 -
Deni Avdija 28 1-9 1-2 0-0 11 6 1 0 3 12 -
Delon Wright 20 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 1 4 7 -
Taj Gibson 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 8 -
Anthony Gill 13 1-3 0-1 4-4 6 0 1 2 6 12 -
Johnny Davis 12 2-5 0-2 0-3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Xavier Cooks 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jordan Goodwin 5 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 8 6 -
Kendrick Nunn 5 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 2 -
Jay Huff 5 1-1 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 5 7 -

* = starter