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2023-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.8% 43.2% -
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +15 (122-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Anderson * 31 6-14 0-2 0-0 7 5 0 0 12 10 -
Jaden McDaniels * 30 6-14 4-6 2-2 6 1 0 1 18 12 -
Rudy Gobert * 30 4-8 0-0 6-7 12 3 0 1 14 22 -
Taurean Prince * 30 1-7 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 1 -
Mike Conley * 26 4-8 0-4 4-4 2 3 1 0 12 10 -
Jordan McLaughlin 23 4-6 0-1 1-2 1 8 0 0 9 12 -
Naz Reid 19 8-10 1-2 5-7 4 1 0 0 22 17 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 18 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 2 -
Josh Minott 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 6 8 -
Luka Garza 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Wendell Moore Jr. 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
Nathan Knight 3 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Matt Ryan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 35 6-9 2-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 15 10 -
Pascal Siakam * 35 11-22 1-6 4-6 10 6 0 0 27 21 -
Fred VanVleet * 35 10-18 3-7 5-6 3 7 2 0 28 22 -
Scottie Barnes * 28 3-10 0-1 4-5 4 2 0 0 10 6 -
Jakob Poeltl * 25 7-8 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 14 19 -
Gary Trent Jr. 29 8-14 2-5 1-1 3 3 5 0 19 16 -
Chris Boucher 19 1-2 1-2 2-2 4 1 2 2 5 12 -
Will Barton 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 -
Christian Koloko 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Precious Achiuwa 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Joe Wieskamp 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Malachi Flynn 3 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter