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2023-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 64.5% 35.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 ✓ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 37 2-7 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Nikola Jokic * 36 11-18 1-5 1-1 10 8 0 1 24 - -
Jamal Murray * 34 9-14 5-7 2-3 4 6 1 0 25 - -
Aaron Gordon * 31 6-12 0-2 2-3 5 7 1 0 14 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 30 4-10 3-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Bruce Brown 27 3-6 0-1 5-6 4 6 0 0 11 - -
Jeff Green 18 4-5 2-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 12 - -
Christian Braun 13 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 5 - -
Thomas Bryant 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 6-15 1-6 7-7 7 4 1 0 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 8-13 0-3 5-6 4 2 0 0 21 - -
Jalen Brunson * 31 9-20 2-5 4-4 2 5 0 0 24 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 26 3-4 0-0 2-2 9 3 1 1 8 - -
Quentin Grimes * 20 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 9 - -
Josh Hart 31 4-5 1-2 4-4 8 5 3 0 13 - -
Immanuel Quickley 25 3-9 1-7 3-5 3 2 1 0 10 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 1 6 - -
Obi Toppin 11 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 - -

* = starter