🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% -
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (110-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 38 14-23 5-9 5-5 6 6 0 0 38 27 -
Maxi Kleber * 28 2-4 1-3 5-6 4 2 0 0 10 12 -
Reggie Bullock * 26 3-5 3-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 9 12 -
Josh Green * 25 4-9 0-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 9 3 -
Dwight Powell * 23 2-2 0-0 1-4 4 1 1 0 5 9 -
Christian Wood 34 5-15 2-3 0-0 9 8 4 1 12 19 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 26 4-12 1-5 3-3 4 1 1 0 12 6 -
Justin Holiday 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 2 2 8 -
Davis Bertans 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
McKinley Wright IV 6 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
Jaden Hardy 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Theo Pinson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 9-14 0-1 8-11 10 3 0 1 26 26 -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 5-17 0-6 1-2 2 11 1 0 11 8 -
Troy Brown Jr. * 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
Malik Beasley * 22 5-9 0-3 0-1 6 0 0 0 10 7 -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 20 3-5 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 7 7 -
Austin Reaves 32 5-8 0-1 6-9 5 2 1 1 16 17 -
Dennis Schroder 29 7-13 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 15 10 -
Wenyen Gabriel 23 3-8 0-0 3-6 11 2 2 1 9 17 -
Rui Hachimura 16 4-6 2-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 10 7 -

* = starter