Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -14 (112-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 12-23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 8-20 | 2-11 | 16-18 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 36 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 15 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JD Davison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 38 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 12-23 | 6-15 | 11-14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter