Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (120-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 42 | 12-20 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 42 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 40 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 10-22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 31 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 17 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaki Branham * | 38 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 38 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 35 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 9-21 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter