Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (114-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 9-20 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 34 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 40 | 10-20 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 38 | 6-14 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter