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2023-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% -
Bradley-Terry 12.8% 87.2% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +23 (117-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 32 8-18 1-3 5-7 8 5 1 1 22 19 -
Kristaps Porzingis * 31 7-16 1-5 5-5 9 3 2 2 20 20 -
Monte Morris * 28 3-10 2-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 10 7 -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 7 5 -
Daniel Gafford * 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 6 11 -
Corey Kispert 27 5-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
Deni Avdija 18 0-3 0-3 2-4 1 3 0 0 2 3 -
Johnny Davis 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 5 -
Delon Wright 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 6 -
Anthony Gill 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Jordan Goodwin 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kendrick Nunn 3 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Taj Gibson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 37 11-19 1-5 1-1 4 9 0 0 24 18 -
Evan Mobley * 35 8-15 0-0 4-6 8 3 0 4 20 20 -
Isaac Okoro * 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 7 -
Donovan Mitchell * 26 7-17 0-6 6-6 6 1 1 0 20 11 -
Lamar Stevens * 21 4-6 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 9 9 -
Caris LeVert 26 6-9 1-3 2-2 4 3 4 1 15 18 -
Ricky Rubio 21 3-4 0-0 2-3 3 5 0 0 8 12 -
Cedi Osman 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 5 11 -
Mamadi Diakite 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 5 -
Dylan Windler 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Danny Green 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Raul Neto 3 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 5 5 -
Dean Wade 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter