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2023-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% -
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (127-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 12-27 4-13 3-3 6 5 0 0 31 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 35 6-13 3-9 3-4 3 6 1 0 18 - -
Klay Thompson * 35 6-14 2-7 1-1 11 5 3 2 15 - -
Kevon Looney * 34 8-10 0-0 2-4 16 3 0 4 18 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 25 5-12 0-1 0-2 6 3 0 1 10 - -
Jordan Poole 23 4-12 2-8 2-2 2 4 1 0 12 - -
Anthony Lamb 21 4-7 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 8 - -
JaMychal Green 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 6 - -
Moses Moody 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 36 4-14 0-4 2-4 7 9 1 0 10 - -
Trae Young * 32 8-18 3-6 6-7 6 12 1 0 25 - -
John Collins * 28 8-15 4-7 2-2 5 0 1 1 22 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 27 5-12 2-4 2-4 3 1 0 1 14 - -
Clint Capela * 22 3-4 0-0 0-2 9 2 0 2 6 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 25 5-11 4-8 0-0 2 0 1 2 14 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 23 8-9 0-0 3-4 7 1 1 2 19 - -
Saddiq Bey 22 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
AJ Griffin 20 4-11 2-7 2-2 3 0 1 0 12 - -

* = starter