Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (116-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 35 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 33 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 26 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 36 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 20 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter