Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -16 (123-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Nwora * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 33 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 31 | 8-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 29 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Portis * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 26 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 27 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindell Wigginton | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter