Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.8% | 15.2% | -9.5 | ✗ (26.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +17 (128-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 12-19 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 21 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 12 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 4-8 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 29 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 34 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Will Barton | 10 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter