Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -19 (100-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 14-18 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 35 | 4-15 | 2-5 | 4-8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder * | 34 | 7-15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 30 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 27 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Buddy Boeheim | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter