Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -9 (128-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Green * | 45 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 45 | 6-11 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 38 | 5-17 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 29 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 28 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 36 | 11-25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 32 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 29 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter