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2023-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% -
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (102-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 4-16 0-8 14-16 12 2 2 1 22 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 12-24 5-8 6-8 10 1 1 0 35 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 4-12 0-5 1-2 2 5 2 0 9 - -
Al Horford * 32 4-8 3-7 0-0 3 5 1 2 11 - -
Derrick White * 24 3-8 3-6 0-0 3 4 1 2 9 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 31 4-9 1-3 3-4 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Grant Williams 26 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Blake Griffin 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Sam Hauser 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 10-20 5-8 3-5 10 7 0 0 28 - -
Kyle Anderson * 36 7-14 0-1 1-1 7 8 0 2 15 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 33 5-12 2-7 2-2 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Mike Conley * 29 2-7 2-6 1-1 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Rudy Gobert * 28 6-8 0-0 3-7 6 1 1 0 15 - -
Taurean Prince 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Naz Reid 19 4-9 1-3 6-6 6 1 0 0 15 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 5 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 15 0-5 0-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter