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2023-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -3 (114-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 40 6-10 0-0 2-3 17 10 1 1 14 33 -
Harrison Barnes * 35 3-10 2-6 9-10 3 1 0 0 17 11 -
De'Aaron Fox * 32 12-17 4-6 4-5 3 1 2 0 32 21 -
Keegan Murray * 29 2-7 2-7 3-4 10 1 0 1 9 14 -
Kevin Huerter * 27 5-10 4-7 1-1 3 5 0 0 15 13 -
Malik Monk 23 6-10 5-8 2-2 4 3 1 1 19 18 -
Kessler Edwards 18 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 2 -
Davion Mitchell 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 1 -
Chimezie Metu 7 3-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
Alex Len 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Terence Davis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 10-20 4-6 9-11 3 3 2 0 33 21 -
Zach LaVine * 35 7-22 2-7 9-9 5 6 0 0 25 14 -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 8-22 0-7 4-5 14 3 0 0 20 15 -
Patrick Beverley * 29 1-7 1-6 0-0 11 3 1 2 3 13 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 27 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 5 -
Coby White 28 4-7 4-6 0-0 6 5 2 0 12 18 -
Patrick Williams 24 5-12 3-5 0-0 4 2 4 1 13 12 -
Andre Drummond 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 2 9 -
Dalen Terry 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter