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2023-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.4 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 43.4% 56.6% -
Points Off/Def 41.4% 58.6% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -9 (109-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 8-18 3-9 9-12 6 12 3 0 28 31 -
Joel Embiid * 38 12-19 2-5 10-10 18 3 0 4 36 42 -
P.J. Tucker * 34 2-5 1-3 0-1 6 3 3 0 5 12 -
Tyrese Maxey * 34 8-14 5-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 23 16 -
Tobias Harris * 30 2-7 1-4 2-2 5 1 0 1 7 7 -
Shake Milton 20 4-5 3-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 11 10 -
De'Anthony Melton 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
Georges Niang 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
Paul Reed 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 -
Danuel House Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 39 9-19 1-7 2-3 6 3 3 0 21 14 -
Evan Mobley * 39 5-10 0-1 3-7 12 5 1 2 13 23 -
Darius Garland * 36 6-17 1-7 2-2 2 5 0 0 15 5 -
Isaac Okoro * 24 3-6 2-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 9 7 -
Lamar Stevens * 11 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Caris LeVert 36 8-14 5-10 3-4 3 6 1 0 24 20 -
Cedi Osman 30 4-11 3-10 4-4 5 0 0 0 15 9 -
Raul Neto 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Mamadi Diakite 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter