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2023-03-15

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% - ✓
Margin 65.1% 34.9% -3.4 ✓ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - ✓
Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.5% 40.5% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -16 (107-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 33 8-14 4-8 6-7 10 3 1 0 26 - -
Julius Randle * 33 8-20 0-5 8-10 10 4 0 0 24 - -
RJ Barrett * 27 8-13 1-3 5-7 5 0 0 3 22 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 21 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 2 - -
Quentin Grimes * 20 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Josh Hart 37 6-13 2-5 2-2 9 8 3 0 16 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 11 4 1 1 0 - -
Miles McBride 24 6-8 4-5 2-4 1 3 1 2 18 - -
Obi Toppin 14 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 11 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trendon Watford * 40 4-12 2-2 0-0 6 4 3 0 10 - -
Damian Lillard * 39 11-26 8-17 8-9 7 7 0 0 38 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 38 6-11 2-5 1-2 8 3 3 1 15 - -
Anfernee Simons * 34 7-20 3-11 5-6 1 1 0 0 22 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 28 5-11 0-2 0-1 10 3 0 1 10 - -
Cam Reddish 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 9 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 7 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 6 - -
Keon Johnson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter