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2023-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -12 (104-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 11-23 0-3 14-24 11 8 1 1 36 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 4-14 0-5 4-4 6 5 1 1 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 34 10-14 1-5 0-1 10 1 2 1 21 - -
Pat Connaughton * 25 2-6 2-6 2-3 2 1 1 3 8 - -
Jevon Carter * 23 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Joe Ingles 27 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 7 1 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder 24 3-4 3-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Bobby Portis 19 4-9 1-3 2-3 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Wesley Matthews 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
AJ Green 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 43 13-27 1-3 3-3 4 3 2 0 30 - -
Josh Okogie * 35 1-5 0-1 6-8 7 4 2 0 8 - -
Chris Paul * 33 5-11 0-2 1-1 4 8 2 0 11 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 8-19 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 16 - -
Torrey Craig * 21 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Ish Wainright 24 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 2 8 - -
Cameron Payne 17 4-9 3-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Jock Landale 14 5-6 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 12 - -
Terrence Ross 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Bismack Biyombo 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
T.J. Warren 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter