Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +18 (132-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 29 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 22 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevon Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 28 | 10-14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 26 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 24 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter