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2023-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% -
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -15 (108-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 33 11-18 1-2 12-13 17 1 0 0 35 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 32 5-15 3-9 4-4 5 3 2 2 17 - -
Malik Beasley * 31 8-16 7-12 1-1 2 3 2 0 24 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 28 1-4 0-2 2-2 8 3 1 0 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 28 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 5 2 0 8 - -
Austin Reaves 28 4-5 3-4 3-5 4 5 1 0 14 - -
Rui Hachimura 19 4-7 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 12 - -
Dennis Schroder 18 1-5 0-2 1-1 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 6 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Max Christie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Davon Reed 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 37 7-14 4-7 2-3 3 1 3 1 20 - -
Brandon Ingram * 37 9-17 1-5 3-4 6 6 2 1 22 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 5-17 1-10 2-4 3 9 0 0 13 - -
Herbert Jones * 33 7-16 2-8 4-6 7 1 2 0 20 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 15 5-10 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 1 10 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 3-5 1-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 7 - -
Josh Richardson 17 2-7 1-4 0-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Naji Marshall 16 2-8 1-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Dyson Daniels 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter