Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +15 (125-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 31 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 13-22 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 27 | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 34 | 10-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 25 | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Will Barton | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter