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2023-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 85.0% 15.0% -
Bradley-Terry 69.8% 30.2% -
Margin 82.1% 17.9% -8.4 (28.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +20 (117-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney McGruder * 38 6-15 4-9 0-0 6 0 0 0 16 7 -
Killian Hayes * 35 10-21 0-2 0-0 3 7 3 0 20 12 -
James Wiseman * 30 4-15 0-1 4-4 10 1 1 1 12 10 -
R.J. Hampton * 27 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 2 -
Eugene Omoruyi * 20 4-12 0-5 0-1 4 2 1 0 8 3 -
Cory Joseph 30 4-9 2-5 2-2 4 5 2 1 12 15 -
Buddy Boeheim 22 2-7 2-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 8 5 -
Jalen Duren 17 4-8 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 1 9 10 -
Jared Rhoden 17 2-5 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 0 7 7 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 33 6-14 2-8 2-2 2 0 1 0 16 5 -
Bradley Beal * 32 13-15 4-6 6-6 6 7 2 1 36 37 -
Kristaps Porzingis * 30 5-15 0-6 8-8 7 4 3 4 18 21 -
Monte Morris * 27 6-10 0-3 1-1 8 4 0 0 13 15 -
Daniel Gafford * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 3 4 15 -
Deni Avdija 28 6-8 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 13 13 -
Delon Wright 21 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 1 -
Johnny Davis 18 5-11 0-2 1-1 5 0 0 0 11 5 -
Jordan Goodwin 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Taj Gibson 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 6 -
Anthony Gill 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jay Huff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter