Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -9 (124-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 36 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 24 | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 8-8 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 28 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 19-28 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 35 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 11-23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 32 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 13-23 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 26 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 27 | 10-17 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 15 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter