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2023-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 50.5% 49.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (123-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 35 13-19 0-0 1-1 12 1 1 0 27 - -
Devin Booker * 35 12-20 0-2 8-10 4 1 2 0 32 - -
Josh Okogie * 32 3-9 2-5 3-6 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Chris Paul * 30 5-13 0-4 1-2 5 11 1 0 11 - -
Torrey Craig * 28 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 2 2 - -
Cameron Payne 17 4-8 0-1 1-1 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Damion Lee 17 3-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 7 - -
Terrence Ross 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Ish Wainright 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Bismack Biyombo 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 4 - -
Jock Landale 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
T.J. Warren 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 33 14-23 8-14 2-5 5 0 1 1 38 - -
Stephen Curry * 33 7-13 4-6 5-6 7 5 0 0 23 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 4-9 2-6 0-0 0 3 0 0 10 - -
Draymond Green * 30 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 3 4 - -
Kevon Looney * 26 4-6 0-0 1-4 10 5 1 1 9 - -
Jordan Poole 30 8-16 4-8 0-1 1 6 0 0 20 - -
JaMychal Green 21 3-5 1-3 2-2 7 1 2 1 9 - -
Andre Iguodala 16 2-3 0-1 2-3 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Moses Moody 14 1-5 0-1 2-3 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter