Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (111-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 41 | 8-22 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 39 | 16-25 | 4-10 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 43 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 28 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 40 | 8-29 | 2-8 | 10-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 39 | 8-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 9-11 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 22 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter