Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -16 (88-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 26 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Hardy * | 41 | 9-25 | 5-15 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 27 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 21 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 17 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 16 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter