Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 36 | 14-26 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker * | 27 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 29 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 13-15 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 27 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 20 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter