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2023-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% - ✓
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 ✓ (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -21 (115-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Anderson * 36 5-6 1-2 3-3 10 12 2 2 14 - -
Anthony Edwards * 35 12-25 2-10 6-10 8 5 1 2 32 - -
Rudy Gobert * 29 5-10 0-0 4-5 8 4 1 3 14 - -
Mike Conley * 27 9-13 3-5 0-1 1 6 1 0 21 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 25 8-10 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 2 19 - -
Taurean Prince 22 4-9 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 5 3 0 3 - -
Luka Garza 18 6-7 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 14 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 5 - -
Nathan Knight 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Minott 2 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 36 6-17 1-5 2-3 2 2 0 1 15 - -
Trae Young * 33 15-25 1-4 10-10 6 7 1 0 41 - -
Dejounte Murray * 32 5-15 1-2 0-2 5 2 2 0 11 - -
John Collins * 27 2-6 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Clint Capela * 21 5-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 2 10 - -
Saddiq Bey 24 3-8 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 24 6-7 0-0 4-4 14 0 1 1 16 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 20 1-8 0-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Johnson 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Aaron Holiday 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
AJ Griffin 1 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Bruno Fernando 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrison Mathews 1 0-1 0-1 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Vit Krejci 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter