Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +20 (117-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 22 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 20 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney McGruder * | 31 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 24 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 32 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 24 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Boeheim | 22 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter