Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (90-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 31 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 27 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 23 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 17 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 31 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 30 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 30 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 26 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter