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2023-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% -
Margin 53.8% 46.2% -0.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% -
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +17 (127-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Reddish * 26 4-8 0-4 3-4 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 24 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 3 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons * 24 7-15 2-7 1-1 2 4 0 0 17 - -
Jerami Grant * 19 2-7 0-3 3-4 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 10 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 25 4-8 0-2 2-2 6 4 0 0 10 - -
Trendon Watford 22 5-8 0-0 0-1 7 3 2 0 10 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 21 5-7 2-3 2-3 4 3 0 0 14 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Jabari Walker 12 1-4 1-1 2-2 4 0 1 1 5 - -
Drew Eubanks 12 3-4 0-0 0-1 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Keon Johnson 12 0-6 0-4 1-2 2 3 0 1 1 - -
Kevin Knox II 12 6-7 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 14 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 30 7-9 2-4 0-0 4 7 2 0 16 - -
Trey Murphy III * 29 13-20 9-14 6-6 7 1 1 1 41 - -
CJ McCollum * 29 8-17 4-8 2-4 5 11 1 0 22 - -
Naji Marshall * 28 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 20 5-8 0-0 1-1 12 2 0 2 11 - -
Josh Richardson 28 5-11 4-8 5-6 2 1 4 2 19 - -
Dyson Daniels 26 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 12 0-3 0-0 3-6 4 2 1 1 3 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 10 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 1 4 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Garrett Temple 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 6 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter