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2023-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +19 (112-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 29 4-14 1-5 3-4 11 4 1 0 12 - -
Bradley Beal * 29 5-12 0-2 3-3 1 4 1 1 13 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 25 4-15 0-3 1-2 6 1 1 2 9 - -
Monte Morris * 25 5-8 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Daniel Gafford * 21 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Corey Kispert 33 9-13 3-7 4-4 3 1 0 0 25 - -
Deni Avdija 23 1-8 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Delon Wright 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 9 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 1 5 - -
Johnny Davis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Taj Gibson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jamaree Bouyea 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kendrick Nunn 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 32 6-11 3-7 3-4 2 14 1 0 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 31 12-21 0-3 10-12 8 4 1 4 34 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 28 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Tobias Harris * 24 4-11 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 2 11 - -
P.J. Tucker * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 - -
De'Anthony Melton 20 3-5 3-5 1-2 6 4 0 2 10 - -
Georges Niang 19 2-4 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Shake Milton 19 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Paul Reed 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Danuel House Jr. 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen McDaniels 7 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jaden Springer 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 - -

* = starter