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2023-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (120-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 38 7-16 3-8 8-9 3 2 1 0 25 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 38 5-8 5-7 0-0 0 1 4 1 15 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 37 5-15 0-7 5-6 6 16 1 1 15 - -
Cameron Johnson * 28 5-11 2-6 2-2 4 2 2 0 14 - -
Nic Claxton * 28 8-9 0-0 4-4 6 5 1 0 20 - -
Royce O'Neale 29 4-9 3-7 0-0 6 4 0 0 11 - -
Seth Curry 19 5-8 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Joe Harris 13 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Nerlens Noel 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 38 14-23 0-1 7-10 20 11 2 2 35 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 37 3-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 2 8 - -
Aaron Gordon * 29 5-9 1-2 2-3 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Jamal Murray * 28 5-19 5-12 1-2 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 22 9-12 3-5 2-2 3 4 1 0 23 - -
Bruce Brown 30 3-10 1-3 2-2 9 3 0 2 9 - -
Jeff Green 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 7 - -
Reggie Jackson 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Christian Braun 11 2-2 1-1 2-3 3 1 0 1 7 - -
Vlatko Cancar 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ish Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter