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2023-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 32.2% 67.8% +4.1 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (119-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 36 6-10 1-4 6-6 6 0 0 0 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 5-10 0-0 7-10 8 4 2 0 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 8-22 2-6 0-2 4 6 2 0 18 - -
Kevin Huerter * 18 2-7 1-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Keegan Murray * 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 25 4-6 2-4 2-2 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Malik Monk 24 5-10 4-6 4-5 4 5 2 1 18 - -
Trey Lyles 21 4-8 3-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Davion Mitchell 15 5-7 2-4 1-1 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Chimezie Metu 12 2-2 0-0 5-5 3 0 3 0 9 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 38 11-19 2-6 4-4 3 8 4 0 28 - -
Chris Paul * 38 6-13 2-9 2-2 6 16 1 0 16 - -
Deandre Ayton * 37 9-15 0-0 4-5 12 0 1 2 22 - -
Josh Okogie * 34 4-10 3-6 4-5 1 0 1 1 15 - -
Torrey Craig * 27 1-5 0-4 2-4 8 1 2 0 4 - -
Terrence Ross 22 7-13 4-10 0-0 1 1 2 0 18 - -
Ish Wainright 14 1-7 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Cameron Payne 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Jock Landale 5 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Bismack Biyombo 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
T.J. Warren 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Damion Lee 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter