Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (125-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 39 | 7-22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 38 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 31 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 20 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 43 | 13-27 | 6-15 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 37 | 7-16 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 32 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 25 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 23 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter