Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.9% | 8.1% | -13.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -14 (96-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 11-23 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 32 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 28 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 17 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 8-20 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 26 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter