Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Hardy * | 37 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 15 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 34 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 22 | 10-13 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 22 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 20 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter