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2023-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% -
Log Adjusted 71.7% 28.3% -
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (111-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 43 14-26 3-8 5-6 8 5 1 0 36 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 38 9-21 2-3 7-10 7 5 1 2 27 - -
Patrick Beverley * 33 6-7 4-5 0-0 10 5 0 1 16 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 7-15 4-7 0-0 12 6 1 0 18 - -
Alex Caruso * 28 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 0 3 2 5 - -
Patrick Williams 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 3 3 - -
Coby White 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 13 4-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 11 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Smith Jr. * 36 8-14 2-5 2-2 10 2 1 2 20 - -
Jalen Green * 35 7-14 3-7 1-3 2 7 1 0 18 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 33 5-13 2-7 3-4 4 4 2 0 15 - -
Alperen Sengun * 33 4-9 0-0 2-2 5 5 3 1 10 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 30 6-11 2-4 2-3 1 1 0 0 16 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 22 3-10 1-3 2-2 5 6 1 0 9 - -
Tari Eason 21 4-6 4-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Josh Christopher 15 4-8 2-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 11 - -
Usman Garuba 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter