Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -9 (125-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 36 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 12-25 | 5-14 | 5-6 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 25 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 21 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 39 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 39 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 12-27 | 4-11 | 7-7 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 25 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter