Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +12 (126-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 42 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 39 | 14-25 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 26 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 23 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 42 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 41 | 12-17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 28 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 26 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 33 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 27 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 11 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter