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2023-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (115-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Duarte * 32 2-11 1-6 1-1 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 32 6-15 2-6 5-6 3 8 0 0 19 - -
Buddy Hield * 27 7-15 3-8 0-0 8 2 2 0 17 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 25 7-10 0-0 5-7 11 1 2 2 19 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 20 1-5 0-3 4-6 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Jalen Smith 25 7-11 1-3 5-6 9 1 0 2 20 - -
James Johnson 21 4-8 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 8 - -
Oshae Brissett 19 3-5 0-1 5-6 7 1 0 1 11 - -
George Hill 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 - -
Jordan Nwora 16 4-9 2-5 1-2 2 1 1 0 11 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Livers * 37 7-20 3-10 1-2 4 2 4 2 18 - -
Killian Hayes * 36 7-17 0-4 3-4 6 13 2 1 17 - -
James Wiseman * 25 6-11 1-3 3-5 9 0 0 1 16 - -
Rodney McGruder * 23 3-6 3-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 22 3-9 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Cory Joseph 27 5-8 2-3 0-0 0 6 1 0 12 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 26 5-9 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 11 - -
Jalen Duren 20 4-8 0-0 8-10 11 1 0 2 16 - -
R.J. Hampton 20 3-6 1-4 1-4 1 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter