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2023-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% -
Bradley-Terry 35.9% 64.1% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% -
Log Adjusted 55.0% 45.0% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (122-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 38 13-19 1-4 5-6 9 7 1 0 32 - -
Pascal Siakam * 37 5-13 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 12 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 37 12-14 4-6 3-3 2 1 5 0 31 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 10 3 0 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 8-17 0-0 1-2 10 4 3 1 17 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 21 0-9 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Will Barton 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Precious Achiuwa 8 2-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Thaddeus Young 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 32 4-7 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 4 8 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 10-17 5-8 3-3 5 9 1 0 28 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 30 5-7 2-4 4-4 4 1 2 0 16 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Malik Beasley * 20 1-6 1-5 1-1 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Dennis Schroder 33 8-17 3-6 4-4 1 7 4 0 23 - -
Austin Reaves 32 6-10 0-2 6-6 2 5 0 1 18 - -
Rui Hachimura 19 7-9 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 3 4 - -

* = starter