Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (128-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 14-24 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 9-21 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 28 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter