Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 42 | 15-30 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 38 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 25 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 12-16 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 25 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter