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2023-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 64.1% 35.9% -
Margin 74.1% 25.9% -5.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -7 (107-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 35 6-16 1-3 3-4 7 7 1 0 16 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 34 7-14 1-3 3-4 7 0 1 1 18 - -
Trae Young * 32 9-19 6-10 4-4 2 9 2 0 28 - -
Clint Capela * 29 4-10 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 8 - -
John Collins * 27 3-7 0-3 1-1 4 3 2 1 7 - -
Saddiq Bey 25 5-8 3-4 1-1 0 0 0 0 14 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 22 5-11 4-8 1-1 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 18 1-4 0-0 2-4 8 1 2 1 4 - -
Jalen Johnson 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 39 7-12 1-3 2-4 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Bradley Beal * 37 11-24 1-5 4-4 6 5 2 1 27 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 31 8-18 3-7 3-5 9 0 1 2 22 - -
Daniel Gafford * 28 6-7 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 1 13 - -
Monte Morris * 26 2-6 0-2 2-2 5 8 2 1 6 - -
Delon Wright 29 4-6 0-1 2-2 2 5 3 0 10 - -
Corey Kispert 22 3-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 7 - -
Deni Avdija 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 5 - -
Jordan Goodwin 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter