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2023-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% -
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +1 (120-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 42 8-13 3-6 5-8 10 2 1 0 24 - -
Damian Lillard * 38 6-15 2-8 8-8 6 11 0 0 22 - -
Anfernee Simons * 29 13-22 8-12 0-1 1 2 0 0 34 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 25 5-8 0-2 1-5 5 5 1 0 11 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Cam Reddish 36 6-11 1-4 1-2 2 1 2 0 14 - -
Drew Eubanks 22 2-5 0-0 4-4 6 1 0 2 8 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 - -
Nassir Little 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 39 6-14 2-8 5-5 9 8 0 0 19 - -
Joel Embiid * 37 13-20 0-1 13-18 7 4 2 3 39 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 35 5-8 1-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Tobias Harris * 24 3-11 0-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 8 - -
P.J. Tucker * 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
De'Anthony Melton 23 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 13 - -
Georges Niang 22 4-8 4-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Jalen McDaniels 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Paul Reed 10 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Shake Milton 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 - -
Danuel House Jr. 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 - -

* = starter