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2023-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +1.0 (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (131-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 34 5-10 2-5 10-10 3 4 1 0 22 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 10-19 4-8 5-6 7 4 1 0 29 - -
Draymond Green * 30 5-9 0-1 6-6 5 7 3 0 16 - -
Klay Thompson * 27 6-14 2-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 14 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 21 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Ty Jerome 23 3-4 3-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 - -
JaMychal Green 17 3-8 3-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Andre Iguodala 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 14 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 2 5 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 34 6-15 1-7 1-1 4 6 1 1 14 - -
Tyus Jones * 33 8-17 3-9 3-4 4 11 3 0 22 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 32 6-13 3-4 6-7 9 3 1 1 21 - -
Desmond Bane * 31 9-16 2-5 1-2 2 6 0 0 21 - -
Xavier Tillman * 22 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 10 - -
Santi Aldama 29 5-9 3-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 15 - -
John Konchar 22 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Luke Kennard 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Ziaire Williams 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
David Roddy 6 3-5 0-2 0-2 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Kennedy Chandler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter